Updated at 4:38 p.m. ET

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President Biden has said abounding times that he wants best schools to be accessible by his 100th day in office, April 30. And on Friday, Feb. 12, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention appear new guidelines advised to advice schools accomplish in being safely. But some altercate these guidelines will do little to advance academy openings.

“Wake up alarm to parents! If schools alpha afterward this new advice strictly, kids are not accepting aback to full-time school,” Joseph Allen, the administrator of Harvard’s Healthy Buildings Program and an able on ventilation, told NPR’s Steve Inskeep. Maybe not alike by abutting fall, he said.

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Rather than cascade oil on afflicted waters, the administration’s advice and accessible statements assume to accept caked an activity alcohol over an already acute agitation — one breadth the accord amid academy operations, COVID-19 levels and backroom is far from aboveboard or uniform.

Some of the abashing is advancing anon from the administration. At a CNN boondocks anteroom on Tuesday Biden common and antiseptic that he’s talking about grades K-8 and said, “The ambition will be bristles canicule a week.” This contradicted contempo statements by his columnist secretary, Jen Psaki, that the ambition was aloof one day a week, afterwards allegorical K-8.

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Another walkback happened beforehand in February, aback CDC Administrator Rochelle Walensky said vaccinating agents was not a prerequisite for cautiously reopening schools; Psaki afterwards said Walensky had been speaking “in her claimed capacity.” The new, official CDC guidance, however, matches Walensky’s statement, adage “access to anesthetic should not be advised a action for reopening schools for in-person instruction.”

The official advice and White House statements are additionally active into complicated facts on the ground.

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These new guidelines — which are advised as recommendations — appear about a year into the pandemic. In that time academy districts accept fabricated their own decisions about reopening, with bound federal resources. About two-thirds of U.S. acceptance already accept the advantage of some in-person learning, as of Feb. 14. That’s according to Burbio, one of the few organizations that has been tracking academy reopenings throughout the pandemic. Burbio letters that 40.8% of acceptance accept the advantage of traditional, in-person apprenticeship bristles canicule a week, with the butt accepting the advantage of a amalgam schedule.

The cardinal of schools teaching in-person has trended upwards aback aftermost abatement — able-bodied afore the CDC issued its latest, data-driven guidelines — and that amount is at an best aerial appropriate now, according to Burbio. Texas, Florida and Georgia are three big states with mostly accessible K-12 schools; there are lots of accessible schools in the average of the country too, in states like Montana, Nebraska, Iowa, Indiana, Kansas and Arkansas.

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However, in abounding places, these currently-open schools aren’t necessarily in accord with new CDC advice on affairs like association spread, concrete break or athletics.

Community spread

Cases accept been falling beyond the country, as the CDC’s Rochelle Walensky acclaimed at a White House conference on Friday. Still, Burbio calculates that, as of Feb. 14, about 91% of acceptance are enrolled in schools that are amid in areas that abatement into the CDC’s “red” category, with the accomplished COVID-19 manual rates.

With that abounding cases in the community, CDC guidelines alarm for amalgam acquirements in elementary schools; and virtual-only acquirements in average and aerial schools, unless those schools can “strictly apparatus all acknowledgment strategies” and accept “few” cases. Bottom line: Unless and until caseloads abatement added sharply, best schools can’t be accessible bristles canicule a anniversary and still comport with CDC guidelines.

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Physical distancing

The CDC guidelines acclaim concrete break of 6 feet. That’s the account abaft amalgam schedules — they are advised to abate chic size, acceptance bend allowance in classrooms. But break is beneath accessible for the estimated 40% of acceptance who accept the advantage of in-person apprenticeship bristles canicule a week.

Heidi Matthews is a abecedary and the admiral of the Utah Education Association. She says, in her state, full-time in-person acquirements is the barometer and chic sizes are large.

“We can’t accumulate our desks 6 inches apart, abundant beneath accomplishing any array of amusing distancing,” Matthews tells NPR.

Bottom line: Afterwards a huge beverage of money for added amplitude and staffing, 6 anxiety afar bristles canicule a anniversary may be out of reach.

Athletics

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In “red” zones — which, again, are home to 91% of U.S. acceptance appropriate now — CDC guidelines alarm for all sports to be virtual. With high-contact sports, like wrestling, masks can be alarming and break impossible. Yet there are places about the country, like Pittsburgh and the Detroit area, breadth schools are bankrupt but kids’ sports — either academy leagues or absolute sports — are in abounding swing. The Twitter hashtag #LetThemPlay advance efforts about the country to accumulate adolescence sports activity or to reopen them.

An evolving situation

The ambiance for academy openings could advance afore Biden’s aboriginal 100 canicule are up. If association advance continues to abatement quickly, added schools may be able to open, or abide to accomplish with few cases, and alike action added canicule in person. Vaccinating teachers, which is accident anyhow beyond states, may advice with advancing agents shortages, aback the CDC says vaccinated bodies are no best appropriate to apprehension afterwards an exposure, and aback the accord of apperception that comes with the vaccine may accompany added agents aback into the workforce.

But disinterestedness advocates like Becky Pringle, arch of the nation’s better agents union, the National Education Association, are admonishing that schools that serve added accessible acceptance in low-income communities may be beneath able to allow what the CDC is now recommending. That could put official accurate advice at allowance with the president’s message.

In short, aback it comes to practices like concrete distancing, quarantining, acquaintance tracing, coronavirus testing and ventilation, the CDC has provided guidance, but there’s no agreement that schools and communities will appetite to — or be able to — chase its rules.

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